Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.002626 0.002799 0.002985 0.003202 0.003448 0.003723 0.004056
2025-01-26 0.002246 0.002459 0.002701 0.002999 0.003362 0.003800 0.004380
2025-02-02 0.002098 0.002348 0.002642 0.003025 0.003520 0.004163 0.005102
2025-02-09 0.002019 0.002301 0.002647 0.003115 0.003759 0.004660 0.006124
2025-02-16 0.001926 0.002225 0.002601 0.003128 0.003888 0.005021 0.007051
2025-02-23 0.001885 0.002208 0.002627 0.003236 0.004161 0.005648 0.008674
2025-03-02 0.001797 0.002123 0.002551 0.003189 0.004191 0.005885 0.009662
2025-03-09 0.001708 0.002030 0.002458 0.003106 0.004149 0.005984 0.010399
2025-03-16 0.001677 0.002011 0.002464 0.003170 0.004353 0.006581 0.012777
2025-03-23 0.001645 0.001988 0.002464 0.003222 0.004542 0.007205 0.015911
2025-03-30 0.001591 0.001933 0.002410 0.003184 0.004566 0.007480 0.018222
2025-04-06 0.001525 0.001857 0.002324 0.003087 0.004466 0.007445 0.019219
2025-04-13 0.001482 0.001816 0.002290 0.003079 0.004549 0.007916 0.023945
2025-04-20 0.001394 0.001706 0.002150 0.002886 0.004252 0.007355 0.021737
2025-04-27 0.001367 0.001683 0.002138 0.002908 0.004386 0.007975 0.029310
2025-05-04 0.001356 0.001684 0.002162 0.002992 0.004660 0.009122 0.052168
2025-05-11 0.001330 0.001659 0.002146 0.003004 0.004783 0.009887 0.093671
2025-05-18 0.001324 0.001665 0.002177 0.003104 0.005123 0.011670 5.933646
2025-05-25 0.001289 0.001625 0.002132 0.003061 0.005118 0.012109 NaN
2025-06-01 0.001249 0.001577 0.002072 0.002984 0.005019 0.012093 NaN
2025-06-08 0.001239 0.001572 0.002084 0.003043 0.005274 0.013970 NaN
2025-06-15 0.001227 0.001565 0.002089 0.003091 0.005511 0.016134 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001200 0.001534 0.002054 0.003056 0.005517 0.016923 NaN